IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.9	#71
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.2	#84
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+6.2	#36

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.8	#115

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.1%	1.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	4.0%	4.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	8.3%	8.3%	1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	22.2%	22.3%	4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	20.5%	20.6%	3.2%
Average Seed	7.7	7.7	6.9

.500 or above	34.0%	34.2%	9.2%
.500 or above in Conference	22.7%	22.8%	7.9%
Conference Champion	1.5%	1.5%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	25.7%	25.5%	46.8%

First Four	3.2%	3.2%	0.1%
First Round	20.7%	20.9%	4.0%
Second Round	12.1%	12.2%	1.9%
Sweet Sixteen	5.0%	5.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	2.0%	2.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.7%	0.8%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 99.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 8	1 - 8
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 11
Quad 2	3 - 3	6 - 14
Quad 3	2 - 1	8 - 15
Quad 4	3 - 0	12 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 29, 2020	338	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	83-57	99%
Dec 02, 2020	100	South Dakota St.	W	82-76	71%
Dec 06, 2020	79	DePaul	W	81-77	64%
Dec 11, 2020	9	@ Iowa	L	77-88	17%
Dec 15, 2020	89	Kansas St.	W	74-69	66%
Dec 18, 2020	7	@ West Virginia	L	72-83	18%
Dec 20, 2020	300	Jackson St.	W	83-64	95%
Dec 22, 2020	345	Chicago St.	W	84-55	99%
Jan 02, 2021	2	Baylor	L	70-77	27%
Jan 05, 2021	15	@ Texas	L	67-77	20%
Jan 09, 2021	14	Texas Tech	L	72-76	37%
Jan 13, 2021	89	@ Kansas St.	L	71-72	46%
Jan 16, 2021	4	@ Kansas	L	69-81	15%
Jan 20, 2021	15	Texas	L	70-74	38%
Jan 23, 2021	14	@ Texas Tech	L	69-79	20%
Jan 25, 2021	42	Oklahoma St.	W	76-75	52%
Jan 30, 2021	72	@ Mississippi St.	L	73-76	40%
Feb 02, 2021	7	West Virginia	L	75-80	34%
Feb 06, 2021	29	@ Oklahoma	L	74-81	28%
Feb 09, 2021	69	@ TCU	L	69-72	40%
Feb 13, 2021	4	Kansas	L	72-78	30%
Feb 16, 2021	42	@ Oklahoma St.	L	73-79	32%
Feb 20, 2021	29	Oklahoma	L	77-78	47%
Feb 23, 2021	2	@ Baylor	L	67-80	14%
Feb 27, 2021	69	TCU	W	72-69	59%
Projected Record						11 - 14	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	1.1	0.7	0.4	0.0	0.0				2.8	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.9	1.6	1.1	0.3	0.0						4.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.4	2.8	1.4	0.3	0.0							6.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	1.9	3.3	2.0	0.3	0.0								7.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	2.8	4.7	2.3	0.3	0.0									10.6	6th
7th					0.1	1.2	4.5	5.6	2.4	0.4	0.0										14.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	2.2	5.6	5.9	2.3	0.3	0.0											16.7	8th
9th		0.1	1.3	4.0	6.5	5.1	1.8	0.2													18.9	9th
10th	1.1	3.2	5.2	4.7	2.7	0.7	0.0														17.6	10th

Total	1.1	3.3	6.5	9.0	11.4	12.6	12.8	11.1	9.5	7.5	5.9	3.8	2.7	1.4	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	99.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	93.8%	0.3		0.2	0.1
14-4	56.9%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.0
13-5	27.7%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	4.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.5%	1.5		0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%							0.0	0.0
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	34.6%	65.4%	1.2		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	44.4%	55.6%	1.2		0.1	0.0		0.0															100.0%
15-3	0.3%		100.0%	41.3%	58.8%	1.9		0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
14-4	0.9%		100.0%	19.2%	80.8%	3.0		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
13-5	1.4%		100.0%	12.0%	88.0%	3.9		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
12-6	2.7%		99.9%	8.5%	91.4%	5.2		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.9%
11-7	3.8%		96.4%	7.4%	89.0%	6.6			0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		96.1%
10-8	5.9%		84.9%	4.6%	80.3%	8.2			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.9	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0			0.9		84.1%
9-9	7.5%		61.7%	3.7%	58.0%	9.7				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0			2.9		60.3%
8-10	9.5%		26.4%	1.9%	24.5%	11.0						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		7.0		25.0%
7-11	11.1%		5.9%	1.6%	4.3%	11.6							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.5		4.3%
6-12	12.8%		0.9%	0.8%	0.2%	13.3									0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.7		0.2%
5-13	12.6%		0.5%	0.5%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.6
4-14	11.4%		0.2%	0.2%		15.7																0.0	0.0	11.4
3-15	9.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.0
2-16	6.5%																							6.5
1-17	3.3%																							3.3
0-18	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		22.2%	2.2%	20.0%	7.7		0.4	0.7	1.3	1.5	1.9	2.4	2.2	2.4	2.1	1.9	2.1	2.1	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.1	77.8		20.5%